| Metric | Historical | Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Years | 0 | 0 |
| Avg. flood-prone share | — | — |
AgriFlood Prediction & Forecasting
A one-year look ahead at flood susceptibility, using eligible historical data. Disaster damage and crop trends are shown alongside it only where enough matching history supports an outlook.
Flood Susceptibility Projected Trend
One-year-ahead flood susceptibility projection for Bataan Province, based on eligible observed data.
Accuracy results: Accuracy: 0.6818 · Precision: 0.5000 · Recall: 0.5714 · F1-score: 0.5333
Quality check: Passed · Source reference: Manual Baseline · Model status: Completed
What this means: This chart shows the information that is currently available.
Next-year result: Not ready yet — A matching next-year result has not been created from this model yet.
The current Flood/Landslide records contain 0 dated observation year(s). At least 2 comparable years, with matching municipality and barangay locations, are required before a trend is projected.
Current flood-susceptibility information is still shown. Needed: 2 additional comparable observation year(s).Agricultural Outlook
Solid lines show recorded values. Dashed lines show projected values.
Actual / Observed: Damage amounts already reported in the Disaster records.
Next-year estimate: Not shown yet. More yearly damage records are needed before AgriFlood can create a reliable PHP damage forecast for farmers and planners.
Technical informationWhy a next-year damage estimate is not available yetShow/hide details
A separate numeric Agricultural Damage regression model is required. The existing Disaster model classifies event risk; it does not predict a PHP damage amount. The forecast point will appear in this same graph only after enough annual damage history supports a valid regression model.
Accuracy results: Accuracy: 0.8750 · Precision: 1.0000 · Recall: 0.5000 · F1-score: 0.6667
Quality check: Passed · Source reference: Manual Baseline · Model status: Completed
What this means: This model reviews recorded disaster events and shows their High-Risk probability. The graph shows the historical pattern; it does not guess an event that has not happened yet.
Accuracy results: MAE: 308.5713 · RMSE: 464.0261 · R²: 0.9986
Quality check: Passed · Source reference: Manual Baseline · Model status: Completed
What this means: This chart combines recorded history with the model’s current next-year estimate.
Year is used only for compatible annual supporting trends. Municipality and Barangay currently apply to Flood/Landslide; province-level supporting records are clearly retained at province level rather than presented as localized observations.